Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 2.115922 2.422833 2.750002 3.123764 3.537944 3.981864 4.492626
2024-12-29 1.613607 2.047317 2.547696 3.163061 3.894554 4.731264 5.755358
2025-01-05 1.280471 1.782603 2.404030 3.218247 4.244470 5.481885 7.072303
2025-01-12 1.005315 1.527343 2.216717 3.172935 4.441564 6.041911 8.184830
2025-01-19 0.836682 1.375177 2.128366 3.225801 4.746201 6.737133 9.493374
2025-01-26 0.704363 1.246809 2.047100 3.266429 5.022043 7.397314 10.781437
2025-02-02 0.603360 1.145366 1.985637 3.318998 5.306065 8.072927 12.114639
2025-02-09 0.508864 1.036121 1.894556 3.311482 5.493547 8.615209 13.282267
2025-02-16 0.422643 0.924308 1.782261 3.254462 5.594990 9.031133 14.282501
2025-02-23 0.366618 0.855872 1.730504 3.283768 5.822640 9.633959 15.568872
2025-03-02 0.308760 0.772635 1.641331 3.239647 5.926870 10.052244 16.597212
2025-03-09 0.271657 0.723692 1.605895 3.280078 6.164155 10.677186 17.951199
2025-03-16 0.231530 0.662055 1.541868 3.269195 6.324279 11.203929 19.202211
2025-03-23 0.211655 0.642179 1.556066 3.400496 6.732455 12.141838 21.126918
2025-03-30 0.190697 0.615449 1.553018 3.498957 7.089706 13.014588 22.985945
2025-04-06 0.161414 0.561163 1.485408 3.467460 7.215591 13.516075 24.278935
2025-04-13 0.143593 0.532603 1.468486 3.531692 7.513932 14.311596 26.067058
2025-04-20 0.126857 0.502864 1.444582 3.578639 7.781662 15.065003 27.811677
2025-04-27 0.112904 0.477657 1.427345 3.636656 8.071509 15.865545 29.658353
2025-05-04 0.097189 0.442543 1.381374 3.629153 8.235395 16.454324 31.173110
2025-05-11 0.081189 0.401354 1.313950 3.567955 8.290150 16.852628 32.380262
2025-05-18 0.071409 0.378669 1.290027 3.599649 8.526677 17.578107 34.159668
2025-05-25 0.059984 0.345781 1.233831 3.552139 8.600818 18.014076 35.456565